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    Thursday, March 17, 2016

    Basic Smarkometrics (3/17/16): The Post-Manila Madness PWR Power Rankings

    You know what time it is, Henrinites. With the conclusion of PWR Live: Manila Madness a couple of weeks backthe Philippine Wrestling Revolution's 11th official show, not to mention its first true venture outside its usual Makati stomping grounds—it's time for us to take stock of all the talent in PWR today through our world-famous PWR Power Rankings system.

    Some people have asked a valid question: If pro wrestling is a fake sport with fake wins, fake losses, and fake storylines, is there any point in ranking its competitors?

    The WWE itself seems to think so, saying:
    WWE.com, in conjunction with the Academy of Wrestling Arts & Sciences (AWAS), ranks the Top 25 Superstars in WWE each week with Power Rankings. The rankings are based on victories, quality of opponents, momentum and overall in-ring dominance, as well as intangibles.
    It isn't a perfect model, but it gets the job done, and helps fuel the discussion among today's fandom on who the greatest wrestlers today are. So with this in mind, we've constructed our own proprietary ranking system called Smarkometrics 2.0 to approximate what the WWE does.


    How Smarkometrics 2.0 Works

    We want to know who's been performing well in recent memory, so for the purposes of these rankings, we're looking at just five shows:

    For these five shows, we took a look at four separate criteria, with each factor bearing equal weight in computing for the best wrestler in the Philippines today.

    • Panalo Factor. What's the win-loss record of each wrestler? This covers every official match he or she participated in, whether a one-on-one, tag, Triple Threat, or battle royal. Only official matches count, so inter-promotional matches, pre-show contests, and house shows don't count towards the numbers.

    • Puso Factor. Truly great wrestlers go up against truly great competition. So we've analyzed the composite win-loss records of every wrestler each talent has faced, and aggregated it into one number. A number above .500 means a wrestler has consistently been matched up against above-average competition, while a number below it means below-par competition.

    • Pasok Factor. If you want to be the greatest, you've got to put in the work. That's why we're counting what percentage of shows each wrestler competed in. Pulling double-duty helps your score, obviously, while taking days off chops down your performance here.

    • Puri Factor. Championship matches mean more, so we're giving a little bit of extra credit for championship wins and successful defenses. We've had six title matches over the past five shows, so we've divided one whole point by six, and awarded .133 points for every victory in a championship match.

    Ready for the ultimate collision of wrestling and math? Let's get hopping.


    Panalo Factor: Win-Loss Records

    In PWR's history, 30 competitors have stepped into the ring to do battle. Four talents (Mike Vargas, Robin Sane, Epitaph, and THE Nelson Jr.) never made it past the first show, three more ("The Machine" Mavericc Knight, "Big Bank" Bruno Bernardo, Yohann "#YOLO" Ollores) have yet to take part in an official match, and one (Mayhem Brannigan) hasn't been seen in action in ages.

    We've compiled the win-loss standings of the 23 wrestlers on the roster today. Here's how it looks.

    All records accurate as of March 16, 2016.
    Seven men have competed in at least ten matches, with "The Senyorito" Jake De Leon holding the mantle of company workhorse, with 15 matches under his belt. That's what four double-duty nights will do for you. "Classical" Bryan Leo is close behind with 13 matches, but with a much better win rate of nearly 70%, as compared to JDL's near-50/50 slate.

    Interestingly, the hulking Main Maxx is the only competitor to have wrestled at least ten times, yet never picked up consecutive wins.

    Here's how things look when we narrow down to just the past five shows.

    Records between PWR Live: May Aircon Na to PWR Live: Manila Madness

    What a time to be Bryan Leo. Not long after he set a PWR record with five consecutive wins, the Classical One is on a three-match winning streak, including his successful reclamation of the PWR Championship a couple of shows back. And what a turn of fortune we've seen for the masked SANDATA. After a record-setting seven straight losses, the Southern Warrior is on a two-match win streak of his own. Mark D. Manalo and Rederick Mahaba have got to be thrilled as well over snapping four-match losing runs.

    What kind of competition have these men been lined up against?


    Performance Profiles

    We've created a graph comparing each PWR talent's win-loss rate versus the strength of competition he's faced since November of last year. This tells us at a glance who's been underperforming or overperforming versus competition.

    Warriors (+0.500 winning percentage, +0.500 strength of schedule)

    Ralph Imabayashi, Ken Warren and Chris Panzer are the only wrestlers who meet the criteria for this quadrant, although we'd love for Panzer to go on a bit of a winning run. We've pointed out how maddeningly inconsistent the leader of the Panzer Army can be; ever since he started his career, he's never been more than one match over .500. With a feud with the Royal Flush's John Sebastian on the horizon, let's hope he can stretch his wings a bit more.

    It may not look it sometimes, but Ken Warren is a fighter. 

    Big Fish In Small Ponds (+0.500 winning percentage, -0.500 strength of schedule)

    This is an incredibly cluttered quadrant, with Peter Versoza, SANDATA, The Apocalypse, Main Maxx, James "Idol" Martinez, Jake De Leon, and "Classical" Bryan Leo as headcount. The most shocking of course is Leo's presence, but that's what happens when two of his four victims in the last few shows have been the 1-4 Rederick Mahaba and the 3-5 Mark D. Manalo. Expect more quality opponents in the near future from the PWR Champion; this is one man who's never run from a good fight.

    JDL needs to lace up his boots for bigger competition. 

    Fighting Spirit Award (-0.500 winning percentage, +0.500 strength of schedule)

    Here, we see Vintendo, Miguel Rosales, and the newly-debuted Los Trabajadores. These men may all be winless for the period covered by these rankings, but they've gone down in style against dominant competition. We wouldn't be surprised to see great things from this cluster.

    Vintendo shows us why he's called the Fighting Gamer. 

    Underachievers (-0.500 winning percentage, -0.500 strength of schedule)

    Everyone else not already mentioned falls under this cluster, with the most tragic being Mayhem Brannigan. Could this be the formal end of the legacy of the Righteous One? Let's see what kind of comeback he makes (if any) in coming shows.

    Mark D. Manalo has the skills to be a real star. 


    And now it's time for the main event—the top five placers in this month's edition of the PWR Power Rankings. Let's get to it.

    Power Rankings: The Top Five

    Honorable Mentions

    We had an interesting hierarchy on top of the Power Rankings last time, but we've got a major shake-up this time around.

    Jake De Leon and John Sebastian both tumble out of the top five this month. JDL couldn't get it done in his tag match with Ralph Imabayashi against the Royal Flush at Manila Madness, while Sebastian was missing in action last time out. This costs both men, as they plummet out of the upper crust of the PWR talent roster. Give chance to others, 'kamo.

    The departure of these two from the top five obviously means we're seeing some new faces.

    At number five, rising four mammoth spots, is Bombay Suarez.

    Nobody's had a better 2016 championship-wise than the PWR's very own "Bitch Killer." From stealing the Malaysia Pro Wrestling (MyPW) Extreme Division Championship last month to wrestling the PHX Championship from Ken Warren at Manila Madness, his year has been truly golden.

    Can the man fondly called "The Heart and Soul of PWR" ride his momentum all the way to the top of PWR? We think so.

    At number four, falling two spots, is "The Social Media Sinister" Ken Warren.

    After peaking at #2 last month after an impressive nine-month undefeated run, the newly-dethroned PHX Champion comes drifting back down to earth after a crushing defeat against Bombay and Panzer in a Triple Threat Match.

    The PHX gold meant the world to Warren, and we're pretty sure he won't take its loss lying down. Trust the "Human Trending Topic" to claw his way back into the exclusive championship circle of PWR.

    Surging four spots to number three is Main Maxx of the Royal Flush.

    We've talked in the past about how Maxx needs to make the most of his potential as the most dominant force of nature in Philippine wrestling today, and it seems that Silent Rage has taken that advice to heart.

    This is the all-time highest rank the Perfect 10 of the Royal Flush has ever seen, and nobody is more pleased than we are. With Maxx standing guard over "Classical" Bryan Leo's PWR Championship, all potential contenders have got to think twice.

    Rising one place to number two is Ralph Imabayashi.

    The Fil-Japanese Sensation may have lost his treasured PWR Championship after a two-month run on top of the company, but he never takes things lying down. Based on promos and social media posts on his fanpage, we may be seeing the birth of a fiery new Imabayashi.

    Friends and foes alike had better be wary of getting dropped with a Sonic Crusher from out of nowhere. 

    And at number one for yet another month is "Classical" Bryan Leo.

    No wrestler has defined Filipino wrestling the way the Man From The First World has; from promo skills to deadly submissions to brute force attacks to an all-around grappling game, he has it all. Leo holds the distinction of being the only two-time champion in PWR history, the holder of the longest winning streak, the leader of the Royal Flush, and face of the company in its various media appearances.

    Call it a monopoly, but Bryan Leo has another word for it: greatness.

    This is how the full rankings across the company looks. 


    That's it for this month's edition of the PWR Power Rankings. Did anyone's placing surprise you? How pleased must the Royal Flush be to have both Bryan Leo and Main Maxx in the top three? Where do you think Bombay Suarez will rank next time around? Give us your thoughts below, and let's have a nice virtual slap-fight over them. 

    Stay smarky, Revo-Nation!


    Mark De Joya (@MDJSuperstaris an advertising professional and brand strategist by day, but dreams of being the Vince McMahon of the Philippines by night. He writes anything to do with numbers for Smark Henry: People Power (our weekly fan survey), Best For Business (our regular financial report), and Basic Smarkometrics (our PWR Power Rankings). With 18" arms and a 355-pound squat, he is also the official bouncer of the Smark Henry offices.

    All photos are by the talented and stunning Hub Pacheco.
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